US Employment Cost Index (Q3)
- Release hour
- −$12.7 −0.32%
- Release-hour range
- $17.1
- 4 hours later
- −$70.7 −1.78%
- vs a normal hour
- 0.6× the usual range
Every release that moves gold in the next three weeks with a countdown in your time zone, the official outcome, and gold's hour-by-hour reaction to the latest releases. Updated automatically every hour.
Strong jobs and wages raise hike odds; often a $30–50 gold move.
8 high and medium impact releases in the next 21 days, 2 of them high impact. Every date is checked against the official calendar named on its row; times convert to the zone you pick, daylight saving included. Weekly jobless claims and the full list are on the economic calendar.
Outcome Fed held at 3.75–4.00% (from our Fed decision study)
Actual CPI 3.7% a year, core 2.6% (September 2026) Previous 3.4%
Actual payrolls +29k, unemployment 4.2% (September 2026) Previous +133k (BLS figures as now published, including later revisions)
Release hour = the 1-hour bar that contains the release time, measured from the close of the hour before. "vs a normal hour" compares that range with the average range of the same UTC hour since 1 May 2026 (when gold moves most). Hover or tap a candle for its prices. Source: COMEX gold futures (GC=F) 1-hour bars via Yahoo Finance; times in UTC.
| Release | Releases | Median move, release hour | Average range, release hour | vs a normal hour* | First-hour direction still held 4h later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decisions (FOMC) | 15 | $23.8 | $51.0 | 4.9× | 87% |
| US CPI | 28 | $11.0 | $34.0 | 2.2× | 71% |
| US jobs report (NFP) | 25 | $13.6 | $42.0 | 2.4× | 76% |
| Other scheduled releases | 9 | $4.1 | $17.8 | 0.7× | 78% |
Moves are absolute dollar changes per ounce in COMEX gold futures. Past reactions describe how violent release hours tend to be; they do not tell you the direction of the next one. *Releases since 1 May 2026 only, against the average range of the same UTC hour over that period.
Source: COMEX gold futures (GC=F) 1-hour bars via Yahoo Finance; release dates from official calendars; CPI and payrolls from the BLS public API. Data updated . Updates automatically several times a day.
This page puts the scheduled releases that move gold in one place: what is coming, how long until it lands in your time zone, and how gold actually reacted to the latest releases, hour by hour. The next high-impact release is US jobs report (NFP, October) on Friday 6 November at 13:30 GMT; the countdown above shows it in your own time. In the next three weeks there are 8 high and medium impact releases on the list.
Across the releases stored here, the median CPI hour moved gold $11.0 (28 releases); the median jobs report hour moved gold $13.6 (25 releases); the median Fed decision hour moved gold $23.8 (15 releases). Since 1 May 2026, a release hour's range was on average 2.1 times the normal range for that hour of the day. That is why spreads widen and stops slip around these times: a large share of a day's movement can arrive in a single hour.
Markets react to the surprise: the gap between the actual number and what economists expected. Those consensus forecasts come from commercial surveys whose terms do not allow us to republish them, so we show the official actual figure next to the previous one instead and leave the consensus out rather than guess it. Most financial news sites quote the consensus in their preview articles on the day.
A live page with every scheduled high and medium impact release that moves gold for the next three weeks, each with a countdown in your time zone, plus hour-by-hour charts of how gold reacted to the latest releases and the typical first-hour move per release type.
Yes. The page detects your time zone and converts every release time and countdown, daylight saving included. You can also pick India, London, New York, Dubai, Singapore, Sydney or UTC from the menu.
CPI, payrolls and the unemployment rate come from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics public API; Fed outcomes from our Fed decision study table. Payroll figures are revised in later months, so a number can differ from the first release.
Consensus forecasts come from commercial surveys whose terms do not allow republishing. Rather than guess them, the page shows the official actual figure next to the previous one.
The site refreshes its data every hour, so the release-hour candle normally appears within about an hour of the release and the card keeps filling in for the next eight hours.
No. The direction depends on the surprise in each release and on what the market already expects. Use the reactions to understand how far gold can move in one hour, not which way it will go.
Educational page only. Not financial advice and not a signal. Past price reactions do not predict future prices. See our risk disclaimer.
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