XAUUSD analysis today: levels, pivots and what to watch
Where gold is trading against the daily pivots, the 20, 50 and 200-day averages, last week's range and the average daily range, plus the events on the calendar. Recalculated every hour from COMEX gold futures data. Education, not signals.
Data updated . Session: Friday 23 October 2026 (latest completed session; the next one opens on the following trading day). Updates every hour. Education, not signals.
The read into the session
Gold came into the session at $4,060.4 (the 22 Oct 2026 close), below the 20, 50 and 200-day averages, and below the daily pivot at $4,087.2. The nearest pivot levels were P at $4,087.2 above and S1 at $4,010.0 below. If price holds above S1, the P level is the next one traders watch; if it loses S1, attention moves to the level under it. The market came into the session after one down day. The 14-day average range was $69.3 and the nearest round numbers $4,050 and $4,000.
ADR(14) $69.3 · ADR(20) $75.5 · 10-day realised volatility 18.6% annualised
Daily pivots from 22 Oct 2026 H $4,164.3 · L $4,036.8 · C $4,060.4
| Pivot | Classic | Fibonacci | Price vs classic | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | $4,265.0 | $4,214.7 | -255.0 | -5.98% |
| R2 | $4,214.7 | $4,166.0 | -204.7 | -4.86% |
| R1 | $4,137.5 | $4,135.9 | -127.5 | -3.08% |
| P | $4,087.2 | $4,087.2 | -77.2 | -1.89% |
| S1 | $4,010.0 | $4,038.5 | +0.0 | +0.00% |
| S2 | $3,959.7 | $4,008.4 | +50.3 | +1.27% |
| S3 | $3,882.5 | $3,959.7 | +127.5 | +3.28% |
Moving averages, swing levels and round numbers
| Level | Price | Price vs level | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20-day SMA | $4,170.9 | -160.9 | -3.86% |
| 50-day SMA | $4,350.1 | -340.1 | -7.82% |
| 200-day SMA | $4,535.2 | -525.2 | -11.58% |
| 52-week high 29 Jan 2026 | $5,586.2 | -1,576.2 | -28.22% |
| 52-week low 28 Oct 2025 | $3,901.3 | +108.7 | +2.79% |
| Prior week high | $4,242.3 | -232.3 | -5.48% |
| Prior week low | $4,095.0 | -85.0 | -2.08% |
| Prior week close | $4,181.1 | -171.1 | -4.09% |
| Prior month high Sep 2026 | $4,558.5 | -548.5 | -12.03% |
| Prior month low Sep 2026 | $4,143.1 | -133.1 | -3.21% |
| Round number above | $4,050.0 | -40.0 | -0.99% |
| Round number below | $4,000.0 | +10.0 | +0.25% |
Education, not signals. Levels are calculated from COMEX gold futures daily data, so they can differ from your broker's XAUUSD quote by a few dollars. Nothing here is a buy or sell recommendation, a target or a forecast. Risk disclaimer.
Events today and this week
Full calendar- Europe ends summer timeLondon–New York gap shrinks to four hours for one week. · info impact
- US durable goods ordersBusiness investment signal ahead of the Fed. · medium impact
- US consumer confidenceConsumer health and inflation expectations. · medium impact
- FOMC rate decision (press conference 30 min later)The biggest scheduled event for gold: rates, real yields and the dollar. · high impact
- US Q3 GDP (advance) and September PCE inflationPCE is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge; can confirm or undo the Fed move. · high impact
- ECB rate decisionMoves EUR, the biggest weight in the dollar index. · medium impact
- Bank of Japan decision (time not fixed)Yen and global yields; BoJ decisions often land in the Asian morning. · medium impact
Times are converted to your clock automatically. Gold usually reacts to the surprise against the forecast, not the headline.
Previous sessions
Each day keeps its levels and what happened: range, pivots touched, ADR used and where gold closed against the averages.
How to use the XAUUSD levels on this page
This page is a daily map, not a route. Every number comes from the previous sessions of COMEX gold futures data: the pivot family from yesterday's high, low and close, the moving averages from the last 20, 50 and 200 closes, the ADR from the last 14 and 20 ranges, and the swing levels from last week and last month. None of them knows what gold will do next. What they give you is a shared frame: the same levels that thousands of other gold traders have on their charts, which is exactly why price so often reacts around them.
Start with the structure, then zoom in
Read the top line first. Where is gold relative to the 20, 50 and 200-day averages? A market above all three behaves differently from one below all three, and a market caught between them is usually in a range where levels matter more than direction. Then look at the pivot. Trading above P with R1 close by is a different picture from sitting on S1 with the 200-day average a few dollars lower. Write that one sentence in your own words before you open a chart; it anchors the rest of the session.
Let ADR set your expectations
ADR(14) is the single most useful number for intraday gold traders. Today it is $69.3. If gold has already covered most of that by the London close, the odds that it travels another full ADR into New York are lower, and your stop and target maths should reflect that. If it has used a small share and a high-impact release is due, the opposite applies. Use the bar on this page together with our gold volatility tracker and the position size calculator.
"If price holds above, if price loses"
You will not find "buy at S1" or "target R2" here, and that is deliberate. Levels are decision points, not instructions. The useful question is conditional: if price holds above a level after testing it, what does that say about the buyers at that price? If it loses the level cleanly, who is now trapped? Our lessons on support and resistance and smart money concepts show how to turn those observations into a plan with a defined invalidation.
Inside days, outside days and range expansion
The read also labels the session's shape against the previous day. An inside day (today's range within yesterday's) is a pause; many traders mark its high and low as the next levels to watch. An outside day is the opposite, a session that swept both sides, and the close relative to the previous range usually matters more than the sweep itself. Range expansion, a day much bigger than ADR, often follows a news surprise and tends to be followed by quieter sessions, though not always.
Check the calendar before you trust any level
Levels are least reliable in the minutes around FOMC, CPI and NFP, when spreads widen and price can jump through several pivots at once. The events list above converts release times to your clock. Our guides to Fed day, CPI day and NFP day explain how gold usually behaves around each.
Keep a record
The dated pages below keep every session's levels and what actually happened. Use them to review your own trades: did price respect the level you traded, or did you trade a level nobody else was watching? A few weeks of honest comparison in a trading journal teaches more than any indicator.
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily pivot point for gold?
The classic pivot (P) is the average of the previous session’s high, low and close. R1 to R3 and S1 to S3 are built from it using the previous range. Traders watch them because many participants calculate the same numbers, so price often pauses or accelerates near them. They are reference levels, not predictions.
How is ADR calculated and what does "ADR used" mean?
ADR (average daily range) is the mean of high minus low over the last 14 or 20 sessions. “ADR used” is today’s range divided by ADR(14). At 30% the day has been quiet so far; above 100% gold has already moved more than a typical day, which many traders treat as a reason for extra caution with new positions, not as a signal.
Are these levels buy or sell signals?
No. This page is education, not signals. It describes where price is relative to levels that many traders watch. What you do with a level depends on your own plan, time frame, risk rules and the news calendar. Read our risk management guide before trading any level.
Which price is used, spot gold or futures?
COMEX gold futures (GC=F) daily data from a public market-data feed, the same source as our other data pages. Futures usually trade a few dollars above spot XAUUSD and the difference changes with interest rates, so expect small offsets against your broker’s quote.
When does the analysis update?
The site rebuilds every hour. The latest session’s price, range and ADR-used numbers refresh in your browser from the same data file, and a new dated page is created once a new trading day appears in the data. Weekend and US-holiday sessions do not create pages.
What are the 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages telling me?
They are the average close over the last 20, 50 and 200 sessions. Price above all three is what most people call an uptrend structure; below all three a downtrend; mixed readings mean the time frames disagree. The averages are calculated from closes before the current session, so they are the lines that were on the chart at the open.