Press and media: gold market data and expert comment
XAUUSD Global publishes original gold market data that journalists, researchers and bloggers can use free of charge: credit XAUUSD Global and link to the page you use. For comment on the gold market, our data or gold trading education, email info@xauusdglobal.com.
Who we are
XAUUSD Global is an independent website about one market: gold traded against the US dollar (XAUUSD). It publishes free gold trading education, live price pages, data tools and original data studies for a worldwide audience, and runs a paid learning community for gold traders. It was founded in 2026 by its founder, who has traded gold for seven years and writes the site's lessons, tools and price pages.
We do not publish trading signals, we do not recommend or rank brokers or prop firms, we do not manage money and we take no affiliate commissions or advertising. Our only revenue is the community membership, as explained on how we make money. More background is on our about page.
What we publish
- Original data studies: what gold actually did around Fed decisions, jobs and inflation reports and US elections, and how it compares with stocks, property, bonds and the euro. All are collected on the gold data studies hub.
- Strategies and indicators tested: named trading strategies and indicator settings written as exact rules and tested on real gold prices with costs, losses included: strategies tested and indicator settings tested.
- Free data tools: when gold moves most, the monthly returns heatmap, seasonality, economic calendar and more tools.
- A weekly gold forecast with a public scorecard: a rule-based outlook every week, graded afterwards on the scorecard, misses included.
- Daily gold news and education: a daily news digest that credits and links every source, and the free Gold Trading Academy.
Our original data
Each study names its sources, data window and method, and lists its limitations. The headline finding below is the one shown on our data studies hub; open any page for the full numbers, charts and method.
Fed, jobs and inflation days
| Study or tool | Headline finding |
|---|---|
| Gold after Fed decisions 14 FOMC decisions, Jan 2025 – Sep 2026 | Up on 7 decision days, down on 7; the median day-after move (1.28%) was more than twice the decision day's (0.53%). |
| Gold on NFP days 77 jobs reports, Feb 2020 – Oct 2026 | Day range a median 1.14× its 20-day average (0.92× on all days); the 8:30 am hour ran $30.1 against $17.0 normally. |
| Gold on CPI days 79 CPI releases, Feb 2020 – Oct 2026 | Daily moves close to normal (0.61% vs 0.60%), but a release hour about 1.9× normal, and the next day reversed 61% of the time. |
Elections
| Study or tool | Headline finding |
|---|---|
| Gold and the US midterms 13 midterms, 1974–2022 | Gold rose from November to February after 9 of 13 midterms (median +4.4%); the first session after the vote fell in 5 of the last 6. |
| Midterm election night 2026 Nov 2024 hourly; 2018 and 2022 daily | Polls close 23:00–06:00 GMT; on the last US election night every hour ran 1.4 to 5.1 times its normal range. |
Gold vs other assets
| Study or tool | Headline finding |
|---|---|
| Gold vs the S&P 500 Aug 2000 – Oct 2026 | Gold +10.8% a year vs +8.4% for the S&P 500 with dividends; weekly correlation 0.06, but gold fell in the 2020 and 2022 sell-offs. |
| Gold vs real estate Jan 1987 – Aug 2026 | After inflation gold +3.3% a year vs +1.4% for US house prices (prices only, no rent); gold's worst real fall was −65%. |
| Gold vs bonds Jul 2002 – Oct 2026 | Gold +11.3% a year vs 3.5% for Treasury funds; a +10 bp weekly rise in real yields went with about −0.5% to −0.65% in gold. |
| XAUUSD vs XAUEUR Dec 2003 – Oct 2026 | Gold +10.6% a year in dollars and +10.9% in euros; the gap each year roughly mirrors the EUR/USD move. |
| GC vs MGC vs 1-ounce gold Specs + 250 sessions to Oct 2026 | A median $95.5 daily range meant $9,550 on GC, $955 on MGC and $95.50 on the 1-ounce contract. |
| Does gold go up when stocks crash? 2008, 2020, 2022 | Why gold often falls in the first, forced-selling phase of a crash and recovers later. |
| Is gold a good inflation hedge? Since 1971 | Over decades gold has kept pace with prices, but over shorter periods the link is weak. |
| Gold vs Bitcoin Comparison | Volatility, correlation, drivers and trading hours of gold and Bitcoin side by side. |
| Gold vs silver Comparison | How XAUUSD and XAGUSD differ in volatility, value per move and drivers. |
| Spot gold vs gold futures Comparison | Why XAUUSD and COMEX gold quote different prices, and how the basis works. |
Timing, gaps and seasonality
| Study or tool | Headline finding |
|---|---|
| When does gold move most Hourly bars, 2 years | The 9–10 am New York hour is the busiest; the hour before the 5 pm break is the quietest. |
| Gold's Monday gaps 109 weekends since June 2024 | Median Monday gap $4.70, rising to $15.80 in 2026; the largest was $116.30. |
| Monthly returns heatmap Every month since 2000 | Gold's return in every calendar month, coloured by size. |
| Gold seasonality Average by calendar month | Which months have historically been stronger or weaker for gold. |
Strategies and indicators tested
| Study or tool | Headline finding |
|---|---|
| 14 gold strategies tested Hourly 2 years + daily since 2015 | Most named strategies lost as mechanical rules; daily inside bars and weekly-open retests were the positive results. |
| Indicator settings tested Two years of XAUUSD data | RSI, EMA, Ichimoku, Donchian and more, each with the settings that held up and the ones that did not. |
Forecast accountability
| Page | What it shows |
|---|---|
| Gold forecast scorecard Every archived week | Every archived week of the weekly gold forecast with its bias call, expected range, what gold actually did and whether the call was a hit or a miss, plus the running hit rate. |
Quotable facts
Short, sourced facts from our pages. Each number is published on the page linked after it; please link to that page when you use it.
- In our data for the 14 Fed decisions from January 2025 to September 2026, gold futures closed higher on 7 decision days and lower on 7. The median day-after move (1.28%) was more than twice the decision day's (0.53%). Source
- For the 25 US jobs reports (NFP) since July 2024 with hourly data, the 8:00–9:00 am New York hour had a median range of $30.1, against $17.0 for that hour on ordinary weekdays. Source
- For the 28 US CPI releases since June 2024 with hourly data, the 8:00–9:00 am New York hour had a median range of $29.6, against $17.0 for that hour on ordinary weekdays (1.94 times the recent norm). Source
- From 30 August 2000 to 29 October 2026, COMEX gold futures rose 1,372% (10.8% a year) against 8.4% a year for the S&P 500 with dividends; the correlation of their weekly returns was 0.06. Source
- After inflation, gold gained 265% (3.3% a year) from January 1987 to August 2026, against 1.4% a year for US house prices (prices only, no rent). Source
- From 30 July 2002 to 29 October 2026, COMEX gold futures rose 1,227% (11.3% a year), against 130% (3.5% a year) for long-term Treasuries (TLT, interest reinvested). Source
- Gold rose from November to February after 9 of the 13 US midterm elections from 1974 to 2022 (median +4.4%). Source
- Across 109 weekends since June 2024, gold's median Monday gap was $4.70, rising to $15.80 in 2026 so far; the biggest was $116.30 on 1 March 2026. Source
- Gold's average daily range on COMEX futures went from about $34 in 2024 to about $64 in 2025 and around $123 so far in 2026. Source
- Gold's correlation with stocks swung from −0.52 to +0.61 over rolling years. Source
- Over 11,443 one-hour bars of COMEX gold futures from 30 Oct 2024 to 30 Oct 2026, the busiest hour in GMT was 14:00–15:00, with an average high-low range of $26.67, about 2.4 times the quietest GMT hour (04:00–05:00, $10.92). Source
- Of 313 completed months from September 2000 to September 2026, gold closed higher in 176 (56%). The best single month was November 2008 (+13.87%) and the worst October 2008 (-18.01%). Source
Live tools such as the heatmap and the hourly volatility tool update automatically, so their figures can change after the date above. Check the linked page for the current number.
How journalists can use our data
Free to use with attribution. You may quote our figures and reproduce our charts in news articles, research, newsletters, teaching material and blog posts. In return, please credit XAUUSD Global and link to the specific page the data comes from, so readers can check the method.
- Cite this. Every data study, the two data tools, the three hubs and the forecast scorecard have a "Cite this page" box with a ready-made citation in plain text and as HTML with the link. For example: Source: XAUUSD Global, Gold vs the S&P 500: 26 Years of Returns, Drawdowns and Correlation (Data), https://www.xauusdglobal.com/blog/gold-vs-sp500/, accessed 30 October 2026
- Embed a chart. The main chart of each study and of the two data tools can be embedded with one line of code. The embed keeps the credit line "Chart: XAUUSD Global" with a link back to the source; all codes are on the chart embeds list.
- Screenshots and re-drawn charts are fine too, with the same credit and link. Please do not change the numbers, and say if you have recalculated or cropped anything.
- Underlying sources. Our studies are calculated from public data (for example COMEX gold futures via Yahoo Finance, FRED, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Federal Reserve). Each page names its sources; credit them where your style guide requires it.
- Not advice. Our data describes what happened in a stated window. Please do not present it as a forecast or a trading recommendation from XAUUSD Global.
Media contact and expert comment
For comment on the gold market, gold trading education or our data studies, email info@xauusdglobal.com. Please include your publication, your question and your deadline. Comment comes from the founder of XAUUSD Global. We explain data and context; we do not give price targets, buy or sell calls or broker recommendations.
Brand kit
Use our name as XAUUSD Global (capital XAUUSD, one space, capital G). The logo is the gold mark below; please do not stretch, recolour or add effects to it.
The kit contains the logo as SVG and PNG (512, 180 and 32 pixels) and a text file of the brand colours.
- Gold
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Editorial standards
How our content is made and checked:
- Editorial policy: how we research, source, review and date every page.
- Corrections: how to report an error and the log of changes we have made.
- How we make money: one source of revenue: the community membership; no affiliate links, no ads, no paid signals.
- AI policy: where AI tools help with drafting and checking, and why people decide what is published.
- Risk disclaimer: everything on the site is education, not financial advice.
If you find an error in any of our data, email info@xauusdglobal.com with the page and the issue. We correct it and log the change on the corrections page.