Glossary · Risk & money

Drawdown in gold trading

Drawdown is the fall in account equity from a peak to a subsequent low, in percent or dollars; maximum drawdown is the largest such fall on record.

Also called Maximum drawdown, Peak-to-trough decline

Drawdown measures how far an account has fallen from its highest point. If equity peaks at $10,000 and later touches $8,500 before recovering, the drawdown was $1,500 or 15%. Maximum drawdown is the deepest such decline in a trading record, and it is the number that tells a trader, or a prop firm, how bad the worst stretch has been.

How it applies to gold trading

Gold’s volatility and the leverage available on it make deep drawdowns easy to produce. Drawdown arithmetic is unforgiving: a 20% loss needs a 25% gain to recover, a 50% loss needs 100%. A trader risking 1% per trade with a 45% win rate will routinely see strings of five or six losses, a 5% to 6% drawdown, and should expect occasional strings of ten. Risking 5% per trade turns that same losing streak into a 40% hole.

Funded-account rules usually cap maximum drawdown at a fixed percentage, often measured on equity including open trades and sometimes trailing the high-water mark. Knowing the typical losing streak of a method, from a journal or backtest, is how a trader checks whether a rule set is survivable.

Drawdown recovery arithmetic also argues for pausing after a bad run: a trader who stops at a 10% drawdown needs an 11% gain to recover, while one who continues to 30% needs 43%.

A common mistake

Measuring drawdown on balance rather than equity, which hides open losses, or increasing size during a drawdown to “get back” faster, which deepens it.

See also: Risk per trade, Risk of ruin, Equity, Daily loss limit.

Frequently asked questions

What is an acceptable drawdown for a gold trading strategy?

There is no universal number. It depends on the risk per trade, the win rate and the trader’s tolerance. A method risking 1% per trade with a positive expectancy will typically see drawdowns of 5% to 15%; much larger drawdowns suggest the size is too big for the method.

How is drawdown measured on a funded account?

Usually on equity, so open losses count, and often from the highest equity reached rather than the starting balance. Read the specific rule, because the definitions differ between firms.